Happy new year everyone.. Finally back to been able to put up a blog . Might not be daily like before but every chance I get I'll get a blog up (bare with me)t.. Will cover every Meydan meet all the way up to the amazing Dubai World Cup night and all major races in the national hunt season. They'll have more details as time allows .
3:20 Longines Prima Luna Handicap - Dragon Falls 10/1 ew
First part of the Godolphin attack at this years carnival and you cant rule out any of them. Dragon Falls is bred to take to the surface and I don't see the trip been any hinderance with plenty of stamina on the dams side. Has the joys of Adam Kirby taking the ride who's a very good Aw rider.
3:55 Longines Master Collection Handicap - Ahtoug 4/1
This was a close one between the selection and Hototo . Went with the selection because he ran in all the top sprints last year and retained a top level of form throughout. Course and distance winner last year closely beating Hototo(receiving 2lbs) in this race. Came up against the the same rival on level weights and finished ahead of Hototo again.
4:30 Longines Saint Imier - Shaishee 6/1
Selection has a great record on dirt with 37.5% win strike rate with 4 places from only 8 runs on the surface and has a 25% strike rate over the distance with four more placings over it. The choice of Paul Hanagan . Trained by master trainer Mike De Kock. Has the pace to win over 7f and the stamina to win over 8f. Could be hard to pass once hitting the front.
5:05 Singspiel Stakes - Sanshaawes 7/2
Not all gone on True Story, this came down to the MDK pair Mushreq & the selection. Mushreq won this last year but I've sided with Sanshaawes because of the race fitness. MDK has always thought of this horse as a group 1 horse. He's dropping down in grade massively having contested the QE11 group 1 at Sha Tin last time out . Can be a bit of headcase but I think he has the talent to overcome this and go on to bigger things at the carnival.
5:40 Al Maktoum Challenge Rd1 - Grand Salute 14/1 ew
Beaten by Surfer on his UAE debut but I seen room for improvement . Group 1 winner in South America by 8ls and previous South American form has translated well in the UAE. Bred to handle the surface now that he has had time to acclimatise properly to the new surroundings . Has top UAE trainer and the services of top young jockey Oisin Murphy, I expect him to out run his doubled figured price.
Gold City would be another ew option against the fav at 25/1
6:15 Longines Conquest Classic - Iguazu Falls 20/1 ew
This lad is getting on in years ,now 10 years old. Much better on turf than on dirt/aw. The layoff should not be a problem having overcame the problem on his last two seasonal debuts here at the carnival . Had great form last year pushing Anaerobio (grp2 winner and 3rd in the Jebel Hatta ) twice last term going down by less than two lengths on both times. Any repeat of that form will she Iguazu Falls go very close.
Thanks for taking the time to read the post,
Tom.